Sun 23 Aug · 16:30 · St James' Park
Home
Newcastle United
Away
Liverpool
Who wins
- Newcastle United45%
- Draw21%
- Liverpool34%
Most likely score 2–1
Summer 2026 · closes 1 Sep
Newcastle United. Bruno, Tonali, Gordon sold
Out: Bruno Guimarães £75m, Tonali £100m, Gordon. In: Touré, Bamba, Dedic, Steur. Engine room gutted — biggest negative phantom on the slate.
Liverpool. Salah, Konaté, Robertson out
Out: Salah, Konaté, Robertson. In: Jacquet £55m, Muñoz, Araujo loan. The 5-year attack rate is too high for this XI — we shave it.
Top bets
Match winner first, then 1-up and never-down as separate markets, then the rest of the board.
- 1
Match result
Newcastle United to win
Chance 45%
- 2
1-up · score first
Newcastle United 1-up
Chance 52%
- 3
Never down · never trail
Newcastle United never down
Chance 46%
- 4
Shots
Newcastle United over 10.5 shots
Chance 61%
- 5
Fouls
Newcastle United over 9.5 fouls
Chance 65%
- 6
Halves
Newcastle United win either half
Chance 61%
- 7
Shots on target
Newcastle United over 3.5 shots on target
Chance 57%
- 8
Goals
Both teams to score
Chance 66%
All options
Every priced market for this match. Strongest in each group is marked.
Match result
- Newcastle United or draw66%
- Liverpool or draw55%
- Newcastle United to win45%
- Liverpool to win34%
- Draw21%
1-up · score first
- Newcastle United 1-up52%
- Liverpool 1-up45%
Never down · never trail
- Newcastle United never down46%
- Liverpool never down36%
Halves
- Newcastle United win either half61%
- Liverpool win either half51%
- Newcastle United leading at half-time37%
- Newcastle United score in both halves36%
- Liverpool score in both halves30%
- Liverpool leading at half-time30%
Goals
- Over 2.5 goals67%
- Both teams to score66%
- Under 2.5 goals33%
Win to nil
- Newcastle United win to nil18%
- Liverpool win to nil13%
Shots
- Liverpool over 12.5 shots63%
- Newcastle United over 10.5 shots61%
Shots on target
- Liverpool over 3.5 shots on target64%
- Newcastle United over 3.5 shots on target57%
Fouls
- Newcastle United over 9.5 fouls65%
- Over 19.5 fouls in the match63%
- Liverpool over 9.5 fouls58%
Handicap
- Newcastle United to win by 2 or more24%
- Liverpool to win by 2 or more16%
Corners
- Over 9.5 corners77%
Cards
- Over 3.5 yellow cards45%