Sun 23 Aug · 14:00 · Amex

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Brighton

Away

Aston Villa

Who wins

Brighton50%
Draw22%
Aston Villa28%

Most likely score 1–0

Summer 2026 · closes 1 Sep

Brighton. Vušković in, van Hecke sold

In: Vušković £50m, Struijk, Promise David loan. Out: van Hecke, Welbeck, Rushworth. Net roughly flat.

Aston Villa. Rogers and Tielemans cashed in

Out: Rogers £117m, Tielemans, Digne. In: Garnacho loan, João Gomes, Manzambi, Suzuki. Star creation gone; replacements younger.

Top bets

Match winner first, then 1-up and never-down as separate markets, then the rest of the board.

1
Match result
Brighton to win
Chance 50%
2
1-up · score first
Brighton 1-up
Chance 55%
3
Never down · never trail
Brighton never down
Chance 55%
4
Shots
Brighton over 12.5 shots
Chance 65%
5
Halves
Brighton win either half
Chance 63%
6
Shots on target
Brighton over 3.5 shots on target
Chance 68%
7
Fouls
Brighton over 9.5 fouls
Chance 60%
8
Corners
Over 9.5 corners
Chance 69%

All options

Every priced market for this match. Strongest in each group is marked.

Match result

Brighton or draw72%
Aston Villa or draw50%
Brighton to win50%
Aston Villa to win28%
Draw22%

1-up · score first

Brighton 1-up55%
Aston Villa 1-up39%

Never down · never trail

Brighton never down55%
Aston Villa never down35%

Halves

Brighton win either half63%
Aston Villa win either half43%
Brighton leading at half-time38%
Brighton score in both halves32%
Aston Villa leading at half-time24%
Aston Villa score in both halves19%

Goals

Both teams to score55%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Under 2.5 goals46%

Win to nil

Brighton win to nil26%
Aston Villa win to nil14%

Shots

Brighton over 12.5 shots65%
Aston Villa over 10.5 shots57%

Shots on target

Aston Villa over 2.5 shots on target72%
Brighton over 3.5 shots on target68%

Fouls

Over 19.5 fouls in the match62%
Aston Villa over 9.5 fouls62%
Brighton over 9.5 fouls60%

Handicap

Brighton to win by 2 or more26%
Aston Villa to win by 2 or more11%

Corners

Over 9.5 corners69%

Cards

Over 3.5 yellow cards49%